The Read · pre-event
The Read: U.S. Open
2026 U.S. Open: the pre-event win-probability board liveslip.ai publishes, led by Scottie Scheffler at 12%.
Our published board as of June 18, 2026. 156 players passed the complete pre-event data contract.
2026 u.s. open · the board we publish · pre-event model estimates
Top four pre-event win estimates on one shared 0–15% scale.
Shared 0–15% scale · published pre-event numbers only
The published board
This is the complete pre-event snapshot behind the names shown here. Every displayed probability passed the same finite-data check; missing cells hold the page instead of disappearing from the table.
| Player | Win | Top 5 | Top 10 | Top 20 | Make cut |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Scheffler | 12% | 35% | 50% | 66% | 87% |
| Rory McIlroy | 7% | 23% | 35% | 52% | 81% |
| Jon Rahm | 5% | 19% | 31% | 49% | 80% |
| Xander Schauffele | 5% | 18% | 30% | 47% | 78% |
| Ludvig Aberg | 4% | 15% | 25% | 41% | 75% |
| Matt Fitzpatrick | 3% | 15% | 27% | 45% | 78% |
| Tommy Fleetwood | 3% | 15% | 26% | 43% | 77% |
| Cameron Young | 3% | 14% | 25% | 41% | 75% |
| Si Woo Kim | 2% | 11% | 20% | 36% | 74% |
| Bryson DeChambeau | 2% | 10% | 18% | 31% | 68% |
| Sam Burns | 2% | 10% | 19% | 33% | 71% |
| Collin Morikawa | 2% | 9% | 17% | 32% | 70% |
Showing the top 12 of 156 players in the validated field.
How to read it
These are estimates on our published board, not a promise and not betting advice. The page preserves the pre-event snapshot so the eventual recap can compare the same board with the verified finish.
Published July 15, 2026. Source timestamps are shown above; no live board or later result can silently replace this approved snapshot.
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