The Arc · FedEx St. Jude Championship · TPC Southwind
2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship: The Arc
Scottie Scheffler turned a two-shot Sunday lead into an eight-shot win at TPC Southwind.
Final outcome as of August 16, 2026. Champion, margin, runner-up and winning score come from the verified tournament outcome record.
From favorite to runaway winner
Scheffler began the week first on our 69-player board at 13.2% to win. That number was a starting estimate, not a promise.
The verified finish
Scottie Scheffler won by 8 strokes, finishing at 17-under.
Runner-up: Si Woo Kim.
The Sunday separation
The final round began with Scheffler two ahead. A final-round 66 took him to 17 under and left the field eight shots behind.
An eight-shot finish
Si Woo Kim's 2-under round secured second at 9 under; Alex Noren and Sam Burns shared third at 8 under.
The chase behind the favorite
Kim started at 2.1% to win and finished second. Noren started at 0.7% to win and reached a tie for third.
The Read vs. reality
The favorite won, while Rory McIlroy, second on the opening win board at 6.3%, finished 66th.
The pre-tournament board gave this result a clear baseline. Scottie Scheffler entered at 13% to win.
| Player | Pre-event win | Pre-event top 5 |
|---|---|---|
| Scottie Scheffler | 13% | 38% |
| Rory McIlroy | 6% | 23% |
| Cameron Young | 5% | 19% |
| Xander Schauffele | 4% | 18% |
| Ludvig Aberg | 3% | 14% |
| Tommy Fleetwood | 3% | 15% |
| Justin Thomas | 3% | 13% |
| Sam Burns | 3% | 13% |
| Chris Gotterup | 3% | 13% |
| Matt Fitzpatrick | 3% | 13% |
| Patrick Cantlay | 2% | 11% |
| Si Woo Kim | 2% | 11% |
Swipe the table to reach pre-event top 5.
What comes next
A pre-event probability is useful because the final result can test it.
Final scores and positions reflect the completed 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship at TPC Southwind.
Browse every Read and Arc or track the players on your own slip live.
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