The Arc · recap
The Arc: 3M Open
Jackson Koivun won the 2026 3M Open by 3 strokes at 25-under. Jackson Koivun entered No. 6 on the archived board at 2% win probability. Runner-up Scottie Scheffler entered No. 1 at 25%.
Final outcome as of July 26, 2026. Champion, margin, runner-up and winning score come from the verified tournament outcome record.
The verified finish
Jackson Koivun won by 3 strokes, finishing at 25-under.
Runner-up: Scottie Scheffler.
The swing — Koivun, Jackson, final round · our in-play engine · model estimate.
The arc line — Koivun, Jackson · our in-play engine · model est.
The Read vs. reality
The archived pre-tournament board we publish here is the same immutable snapshot linked to this recap. Jackson Koivun entered at 2% to win.
Board vs reality · the board we publish · pre-event model estimates
The gap · the board we publish · pre-event model estimates
| Player | Pre-event win | Pre-event top 5 |
|---|---|---|
| Scottie Scheffler | 25% | 53% |
| Maverick McNealy | 3% | 15% |
| Kurt Kitayama | 3% | 14% |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 3% | 12% |
| Tom Kim | 2% | 12% |
| Jackson Koivun | 2% | 10% |
| Keith Mitchell | 2% | 10% |
| Jake Knapp | 2% | 9% |
| Jordan Smith | 2% | 9% |
| Corey Conners | 2% | 9% |
| Michael Brennan | 2% | 8% |
| Sungjae Im | 1% | 8% |
Swipe the table to reach pre-event top 5.
Browse every Read and Arc or track the players on your own slip live.
Published July 27, 2026. Source timestamps are shown above; no live board or later result can silently replace this approved snapshot.
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